December 22, 2007

Cvx Stock Quote

Day Trading Techniques >> How to Profit When Stocks Move UP or down BY http://www.SharpTrades.com

Profitable day traders and investors recognize that knowing how to pick and trade stocks with momentum is among the fastest and most effective ways to harvest BIG piles of cash in the stock market.

The problem is that if you don’t know which stocks to look for and how to approach them while limiting your risk, you won’t even get close to making some profits.

You don’t necessarily have to trade momentum hot stocks all the time. But you can learn how to take advantage of them when you encounter the best opportunities.

If you want to learn how to trade and pick hot momentum stocks in a simple yet effective way every week, just log on to http://www.SharpTrades.com right now and discover what youve been missing.

Take a Look at The Valuable Strategies and Bonuses that You can access today:

+ $ Trading Psychology. Realistic mindset of experienced momentum traders. The ones who make more money look at every opportunity in certain ways.

+ $ Short Selling Opportunities. Focus on these strategic scenarios and short stocks like a pro over and over without getting confused. The other side of the golden coin: Shorting to profit when the stock goes down.

+ $ How to pick momentum stocks every day in an easy and fast way. Pure gold over and over.

+ $ What kind of stocks to look for and how to classify the opportunities for greater trading profits. Come and get a truckload of $$$$$ from now on.

+ $ Profitable momentum trading without technical analysis.

+ $ What kind of stocks and “opportunities” to avoid and why. Save thousands in losses from trades gone bad in the future.

+ $ The “little details” you should look for before you consider a momentum daytrade.

+ $ Things to consider when trading low float momentum stocks

+ $ Buying micro cap and small cap stocks with momentum.

+ $ Trading NASDAQ stocks or OTCBB - OTC stocks ?

+ $ Getting ready for the trading breakout. Position your self for success.

+ $ Will my market rally last more than 5 minutes or less? What to do

+ $ It’s all about the stock rally. The rest is just a bunch of elegant B.S. Learn to focus on what matters.

+ $ How to lock in profits on the way up

+ $ Should I hold overnight trading positions for a possible gap up ?

+ $ What to do if the stock rally stops moving. Cash in your pocket !

+ $ Level 2 trading ( L 2 ) strategies for momentum stocks.

+ $ Time frames for trading stocks with momentum, Pros and Cons

+ $ Premarket stock trading strategies and tips.

+ $ Trading momentum stock opportunities during market hours. $$$$

+ $ Trading at the open or waiting till the dust settles to make your move. It depends. This can make a big difference in your results.

+ $ Stocktrading during lunch hour ?

+ $ After hours trading tactics and tips. Super value, yours included !

+ $ Become an expert of your hotstock watch list.

+ $ You don’t need to watch the stock market all day. Profitable stock traders have a better way.

+ $ Stock trading is not a job. Save money and don’t make it another rat race.

+ $ Watching charts and stocktrading all day ? Overtrading is not the way to go. Learn why !

+ $ Testing the high probability trading plan

+ $ Stress free day trading tips and strategies for beginners and experienced stock traders. Your time is here!

+ $ Real examples of recent on-line trading opportunities. Learn in a practical way.

+ $ Powerful stock market resources and tools for day trading with our strategy. Discover momentum stocks in a snap and choose only the best every day. No waisting time. Its all about results !

Just picture your self waking up EVERY morning fresh and confident knowing you can identify, validate and take advantage of great momentum trading opportunities that are capable of generating you very profitable results.

For more information visit us today at Sharp Trades

http://www.SharpTrades.com

About the Author

Sharp Trades helps beginner stock traders and investors pick hot stock trading opportunities every day at http://www.SharpTrades.com

How to Pick Hot Technology Stocks >> Beyond Stock Market Basics … Day Trading Course BY.- http://www.MomentumStockTrading.com

Profitable day traders and investors recognize that knowing how to pick and trade stocks with momentum is among the fastest and most effective ways to harvest BIG piles of cash in the stock market.

The problem is that if you don’t know which stocks to look for and how to approach them while limiting your risk, you won’t even get close to making some profits.

You don’t necessarily have to trade momentum hot stocks all the time. But you can learn how to take advantage of them when you encounter the best opportunities.

If you want to learn how to trade and pick hot momentum stocks in a simple yet effective way every week, just log on to http://www.MomentumStockTrading.com right now and discover what youve been missing.

Take a Look at The Valuable Strategies and Bonuses that You can access today:

+ $ Trading Psychology. Realistic mindset of experienced momentum traders. The ones who make more money look at every opportunity in certain ways.

+ $ Short Selling Opportunities. Focus on these strategic scenarios and short stocks like a pro over and over without getting confused. The other side of the golden coin: Shorting to profit when the stock goes down.

+ $ How to pick momentum stocks every day in an easy and fast way. Pure gold over and over.

+ $ What kind of stocks to look for and how to classify the opportunities for greater trading profits. Come and get a truckload of $$$$$ from now on.

+ $ Profitable momentum trading without technical analysis.

+ $ What kind of stocks and “opportunities” to avoid and why. Save thousands in losses from trades gone bad in the future.

+ $ The “little details” you should look for before you consider a momentum daytrade.

+ $ Things to consider when trading low float momentum stocks

+ $ Buying micro cap and small cap stocks with momentum.

+ $ Trading NASDAQ stocks or OTCBB - OTC stocks ?

+ $ Getting ready for the trading breakout. Position your self for success.

+ $ Will my market rally last more than 5 minutes or less? What to do

+ $ It’s all about the stock rally. The rest is just a bunch of elegant B.S. Learn to focus on what matters.

+ $ How to lock in profits on the way up

+ $ Should I hold overnight trading positions for a possible gap up ?

+ $ What to do if the stock rally stops moving. Cash in your pocket !

+ $ Level 2 trading ( L 2 ) strategies for momentum stocks.

+ $ Time frames for trading stocks with momentum, Pros and Cons

+ $ Premarket stock trading strategies and tips.

+ $ Trading momentum stock opportunities during market hours. $$$$

+ $ Trading at the open or waiting till the dust settles to make your move. It depends. This can make a big difference in your results.

+ $ Stocktrading during lunch hour ?

+ $ After hours trading tactics and tips. Super value, yours included !

+ $ Become an expert of your hotstock watch list.

+ $ You don’t need to watch the stock market all day. Profitable stock traders have a better way.

+ $ Stock trading is not a job. Save money and don’t make it another rat race.

+ $ Watching charts and stocktrading all day ? Overtrading is not the way to go. Learn why !

+ $ Testing the high probability trading plan

+ $ Stress free day trading tips and strategies for beginners and experienced stock traders. Your time is here!

+ $ Real examples of recent on-line trading opportunities. Learn in a practical way.

+ $ Powerful stock market resources and tools for day trading with our strategy. Discover momentum stocks in a snap and choose only the best every day. No waisting time. Its all about results !

Just picture your self waking up EVERY morning fresh and confident knowing you can identify, validate and take advantage of great momentum trading opportunities that are capable of generating you very profitable results.

For more information visit us today at Momentum Stock Trading

http://www.MomentumStockTrading.com

About the Author

Momentum Stock Trading helps day traders and investors choose hot stock trading opportunities in a practical way every day at http://www.MomentumStockTrading.com

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Current Share Prices

Making a Fortune in the Stock Market >> How to Buy and Sell Stocks … Traders Secret Strategies BY http://www.SharpTrades.com

Profitable day traders and investors recognize that knowing how to pick and trade stocks with momentum is among the fastest and most effective ways to harvest BIG piles of cash in the stock market.

The problem is that if you don’t know which stocks to look for and how to approach them while limiting your risk, you won’t even get close to making some profits.

You don’t necessarily have to trade momentum hot stocks all the time. But you can learn how to take advantage of them when you encounter the best opportunities.

If you want to learn how to trade and pick hot momentum stocks in a simple yet effective way every week, just log on to http://www.SharpTrades.com right now and discover what youve been missing.

Take a Look at The Valuable Strategies and Bonuses that You can access today:

+ $ Trading Psychology. Realistic mindset of experienced momentum traders. The ones who make more money look at every opportunity in certain ways.

+ $ Short Selling Opportunities. Focus on these strategic scenarios and short stocks like a pro over and over without getting confused. The other side of the golden coin: Shorting to profit when the stock goes down.

+ $ How to pick momentum stocks every day in an easy and fast way. Pure gold over and over.

+ $ What kind of stocks to look for and how to classify the opportunities for greater trading profits. Come and get a truckload of $$$$$ from now on.

+ $ Profitable momentum trading without technical analysis.

+ $ What kind of stocks and “opportunities” to avoid and why. Save thousands in losses from trades gone bad in the future.

+ $ The “little details” you should look for before you consider a momentum daytrade.

+ $ Things to consider when trading low float momentum stocks

+ $ Buying micro cap and small cap stocks with momentum.

+ $ Trading NASDAQ stocks or OTCBB - OTC stocks ?

+ $ Getting ready for the trading breakout. Position your self for success.

+ $ Will my market rally last more than 5 minutes or less? What to do

+ $ It’s all about the stock rally. The rest is just a bunch of elegant B.S. Learn to focus on what matters.

+ $ How to lock in profits on the way up

+ $ Should I hold overnight trading positions for a possible gap up ?

+ $ What to do if the stock rally stops moving. Cash in your pocket !

+ $ Level 2 trading ( L 2 ) strategies for momentum stocks.

+ $ Time frames for trading stocks with momentum, Pros and Cons

+ $ Premarket stock trading strategies and tips.

+ $ Trading momentum stock opportunities during market hours. $$$$

+ $ Trading at the open or waiting till the dust settles to make your move. It depends. This can make a big difference in your results.

+ $ Stocktrading during lunch hour ?

+ $ After hours trading tactics and tips. Super value, yours included !

+ $ Become an expert of your hotstock watch list.

+ $ You don’t need to watch the stock market all day. Profitable stock traders have a better way.

+ $ Stock trading is not a job. Save money and don’t make it another rat race.

+ $ Watching charts and stocktrading all day ? Overtrading is not the way to go. Learn why !

+ $ Testing the high probability trading plan

+ $ Stress free day trading tips and strategies for beginners and experienced stock traders. Your time is here!

+ $ Real examples of recent on-line trading opportunities. Learn in a practical way.

+ $ Powerful stock market resources and tools for day trading with our strategy. Discover momentum stocks in a snap and choose only the best every day. No waisting time. Its all about results !

Just picture your self waking up EVERY morning fresh and confident knowing you can identify, validate and take advantage of great momentum trading opportunities that are capable of generating you very profitable results.

For more information visit us today at Sharp Trades

http://www.SharpTrades.com

About the Author

SharpTrades.com helps beginner stock traders and investors pick hot stock trading opportunities every day at http://www.SharpTrades.com

Trading low priced Micro cap and penny stocks is a “High Risk High Reward” style of trading. I have found that one of the most profitable ways to trade these stocks is by finding the bottoms. If you are correct and find the bottom, the stock has nowhere to go but up. If you are wrong and miss the bottom, no one wants to “catch a falling knife”.

Over the years I have developed very successful strategies to find bottoming stocks, I have taken these strategies and created bottompicks. When searching for bottoming stocks, the first key is to understand what caused the stock to drop in the first place. The second key is to find out if there is any reason this stock should go back up in price. This can only be done with a complete understanding of technical analysis and the “due diligence” of fundamental analysis.

When a stock is bottoming, it has dropped to a new recent low. This could be as dramatic as the lowest price in years or something as simple as a 50% pullback from recent highs. At this point the stock may begin to stabilize (trade sideways). This could mean that the stock is now poised to rise again in price, but it could also be preparing for another move lower. With micro caps and penny stocks it is always easy to find stocks that look like they’re at their bottoms. It seems that every night we are analyzing a hundred different stocks that have recently broken their downtrend. If you are unsure of how to find stocks in up trends or downtrends, try a stock screener.

Once you think you’ve found a stock that is technically ready to begin that profitable trend to new highs, it is now time to do your homework. Fundamentally there are many things to look for. There are so many that I can only give you a brief overview. You will want to read the filings and news to understand the companies share structure, current operation, and if there are any future events that may cause the stock to rise. Some of the more important items you will be searching for in the filings are operating shares, authorized shares, float and warrants.

When you have found a stock that is bottoming with a solid share structure and is due to release great news, such as a new product or strong earnings. This is probably a good time to buy. Prepare to hold on, stocks in this market have been known to rise thousands of percentage points in a short amount of time.

About the Author

About the author: Keith Guyette M.Ed, J.D. is a professional trader as well as the owner and head stock analyst for www.bottompicks.com. Mr. Guyette is also the moderator at one of the largest stock bulletin boards on the web.

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Ford Stock Quote

Why should you want to steal someone else’s stock market lesson plans?

First, let me tell you that a trading plan is only useful if you follow it. Following your plan will make you successful, yet many traders circumvent the stock market lesson plans that they have carefully created. They become emotional invested in a trade, to the point where they ignore all warning signs. Remember, when the market corrects itself, which it always does, no position is immune, no matter how strongly your ego may be tied to it.

Many investors have stock market lesson plans that watch as their portfolio values are cut in half or more, yet they will still hold their positions. They may fear being left out of a big gain, or be so deep in loss that they felt they couldn’t possibly sell at that point. But even if you believe that all positions will recover from their losses, and the truth is that not all of them will, this is a terrible way to trade.

You tie up too much capital, and your rate of return plummets. Just as you shouldn’t become emotionally involved in a trade, you should also never become tied to ideas. By this I mean becoming so fond of a particular strategy or trend that you cling to it even after it has stopped working. You need to have strategies, and to have plans, but you must also be aware of the shifts and swings of the market, the beginning and the ends of trends.

When you first form your plan for a trade, you should consider what price or price range you think the stock is likely to reach. This is often called a target price, which gives some traders the wrong impression. A target price is not a price that the stock has to meet. A stock does not have to do anything. If you treat your target price as a goal, it can lead to many problems. Your target price should only be used as a guideline.

The target price helps you figure out your risk to reward ratio, and it gives you an exit point in your trade. At the least, it should give you a point where you’ll reassess the trade’s ability to continue to moving upward. But your trade may never reach your target price. Many market factors can interfere with its progress, and you may have set your target higher than you should have. Since there’s no way all your trades will hit your price targets, it is a good idea to sell half your position at a more conservative target. Routinely taking profits will reward you in the long run.

There are a number of things that can interfere with a stock’s movement and force you to close your position sooner than you’d anticipated. Your stock market lesson plans should cover all of these possibilities, but here are some reasons that should always prompt you to close a position:

1. The end of a trend. All trends end some time, and you should be prepared for this.

2. The stock’s upward movement has slowed or been abruptly broken, ending its momentum.

3. The stock is approaching a major psychological barrier, perhaps reaching 100 dollars or 200 dollars a share, which should have been anticipated in your plan

4. The stock is about to reach a resistance level it has been unable to break through before.

This technical barrier should also have been anticipated in your plan.

5. A sudden market wide decline, or the threat of one, or some other serious uncertainty,

which leads to unsafe market conditions.

Exiting a losing trade is not a big deal. Ending a position whether or not the stock reaches its target price, in accordance with your stock market lesson plans, is good trading. The best traders would rather lose a small profit than take an unnecessary risk. You don’t have to win on every trade; no one does, and it’s dangerous to try. In fact, by limiting losses, a good trader can be profitable overall, and make money on only 40 percent of his trades. Cut your losses and start fresh with something else when you need to. You’ll be happier, and you’ll make much more money.

About The Author

David Jenyns is recognized as the leading expert when it comes to designing profitable stock trading systems.

Discover the “secret formula” of trading that anyone can use to consistently generate BIG profits from the market by downloading your FREE copy of David’s new Ultimate Stock Trading Systems course.

Click Here To Download ==> Stock Trading Systems http://www.ultimate-trading-systems.com/stocks.html

How to Buy and Sell Stocks … STOCK MARKET TREND … Stock Market Prediction BY .- ProfitableStockMarket.com

The stock market can present you with a lot of hot stocks every day. Many of them are new technology stocks that come from the nanotech, biotech, voip, healthcare, homeland defense or internet sectors.

Most of them may seem promising, but the truth is that a good number of these trading & investing opportunities are extremely risky, while others are not as good as they seem. That’s why it’s very important to know how to choose the best especially if you want to day trade them.

When you know how to pick and approach the best hot stock trading opportuntites, you are able to generate a consistent and respectable amount of money in a very short period of time.

Experienced day traders recognize that trading hot stocks on momentum can be the fastest way to make money in the stock market.

You don’t necessarily have to trade momentum hot stocks all the time. But you can learn how to take advantage of them when you encounter the best opportunities for going long or for shorting them to make money when they are poised to fall down.

If you want to learn how to trade and pick hot momentum stocks in a simple yet effective way every week, just log on to ProfitableStockMarket.com right now and discover what youve been missing.

Take a Look at The Valuable Strategies and Bonuses that You can access today:

+ $ Trading Psychology. Realistic mindset of experienced momentum traders. The ones who make more money look at every opportunity in certain ways.

+ $ Short Selling Opportunities. Focus on these strategic scenarios and short stocks like a pro over and over without getting confused. The other side of the golden coin: Shorting to profit when the stock goes down.

+ $ How to pick momentum stocks every day in an easy and fast way. Pure gold over and over.

+ $ What kind of stocks to look for and how to classify the opportunities for greater trading profits. Come and get a truckload of $$$$$ from now on.

+ $ Profitable momentum trading without technical analysis.

+ $ What kind of stocks and “opportunities” to avoid and why. Save thousands in losses from trades gone bad in the future.

+ $ The “little details” you should look for before you consider a momentum daytrade.

+ $ Things to consider when trading low float momentum stocks

+ $ Buying micro cap and small cap stocks with momentum.

+ $ Trading NASDAQ stocks or OTCBB - OTC stocks ?

+ $ Getting ready for the trading breakout. Position your self for success.

+ $ Will my market rally last more than 5 minutes or less? What to do

+ $ It’s all about the stock rally. The rest is just a bunch of elegant B.S. Learn to focus on what matters.

+ $ How to lock in profits on the way up

+ $ Should I hold overnight trading positions for a possible gap up ?

+ $ What to do if the stock rally stops moving. Cash in your pocket !

+ $ Level 2 trading ( L 2 ) strategies for momentum stocks.

+ $ Time frames for trading stocks with momentum, Pros and Cons

+ $ Premarket stock trading strategies and tips.

+ $ Trading momentum stock opportunities during market hours. $$$$

+ $ Trading at the open or waiting till the dust settles to make your move. It depends. This can make a big difference in your results.

+ $ Stocktrading during lunch hour ?

+ $ After hours trading tactics and tips. Super value, yours included !

+ $ Become an expert of your hotstock watch list.

+ $ You don’t need to watch the stock market all day. Profitable stock traders have a better way.

+ $ Stock trading is not a job. Save money and don’t make it another rat race.

+ $ Watching charts and stocktrading all day ? Overtrading is not the way to go. Learn why !

+ $ Testing the high probability trading plan

+ $ Stress free day trading tips and strategies for beginners and experienced stock traders. Your time is here!

+ $ Real examples of recent on-line trading opportunities. Learn in a practical way.

+ $ Powerful stock market resources and tools for day trading with our strategy. Discover momentum stocks in a snap and choose only the best every day. No waisting time. Its all about results !

Just picture your self waking up EVERY morning fresh and confident knowing you can identify, validate and take advantage of great momentum trading opportunities that are capable of generating you very profitable results.

For more information visit us today at Profitable Stock Market http://www.ProfitableStockMarket.com

About the Author

Profitable Stock Market helps day traders and investors pick hot stock trading opportunities every day at http://www.ProfitableStockMarket.com

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Current Share Prices

Stock Market Secrets … How to pick HOT STOCKS … Making money when stocks move Up or Down BY.- http://www.StressFreeTraders.com

The stock market can present you with a lot of hot stocks every day. Many of them are new technology stocks that come from the nanotech, biotech, voip, healthcare, homeland defense or internet sectors.

Most of them may seem promising, but the truth is that a good number of these trading & investing opportunities are extremely risky, while others are not as good as they seem. That’s why it’s very important to know how to choose the best especially if you want to day trade them.

When you know how to pick and approach the best hot stock trading opportuntites, it is possible to generate a consistent and respectable amount of money in a very short period of time.

Experienced day traders recognize that trading hot stocks on momentum can be the fastest way to make money in the stock market.

You don’t necessarily have to trade momentum hot stocks all the time. But you can learn how to take advantage of them when you encounter the best opportunities for going long or for shorting them to make money when they are poised to fall down.

If you want to learn how to trade and pick hot momentum stocks in a simple yet effective way every week, just log on to StressFreeTraders.com right now and discover what youve been missing.

Take a Look at The Valuable Strategies and Bonuses that You can access today:

+ $ Trading Psychology. Realistic mindset of experienced momentum traders. The ones who make more money look at every opportunity in certain ways.

+ $ Short Selling Opportunities. Focus on these strategic scenarios and short stocks like a pro over and over without getting confused. The other side of the golden coin: Shorting to profit when the stock goes down.

+ $ How to pick momentum stocks every day in an easy and fast way. Pure gold over and over.

+ $ What kind of stocks to look for and how to classify the opportunities for greater trading profits. Come and get a truckload of $$$$$ from now on.

+ $ Profitable momentum trading without technical analysis.

+ $ What kind of stocks and “opportunities” to avoid and why. Save thousands in losses from trades gone bad in the future.

+ $ The “little details” you should look for before you consider a momentum daytrade.

+ $ Things to consider when trading low float momentum stocks

+ $ Buying micro cap and small cap stocks with momentum.

+ $ Trading NASDAQ stocks or OTCBB - OTC stocks ?

+ $ Getting ready for the trading breakout. Position your self for success.

+ $ Will my market rally last more than 5 minutes or less? What to do

+ $ It’s all about the stock rally. The rest is just a bunch of elegant B.S. Learn to focus on what matters.

+ $ How to lock in profits on the way up

+ $ Should I hold overnight trading positions for a possible gap up ?

+ $ What to do if the stock rally stops moving. Cash in your pocket !

+ $ Level 2 trading ( L 2 ) strategies for momentum stocks.

+ $ Time frames for trading stocks with momentum, Pros and Cons

+ $ Premarket stock trading strategies and tips.

+ $ Trading momentum stock opportunities during market hours. $$$$

+ $ Trading at the open or waiting till the dust settles to make your move. It depends. This can make a big difference in your results.

+ $ Stocktrading during lunch hour ?

+ $ After hours trading tactics and tips. Super value, yours included !

+ $ Become an expert of your hotstock watch list.

+ $ You don’t need to watch the stock market all day. Profitable stock traders have a better way.

+ $ Stock trading is not a job. Save money and don’t make it another rat race.

+ $ Watching charts and stocktrading all day ? Overtrading is not the way to go. Learn why !

+ $ Testing the high probability trading plan

+ $ Stress free day trading tips and strategies for beginners and experienced stock traders. Your time is here!

+ $ Real examples of recent on-line trading opportunities. Learn in a practical way.

+ $ Powerful stock market resources and tools for day trading with our strategy. Discover momentum stocks in a snap and choose only the best every day. No waisting time. Its all about results !

Just picture your self waking up EVERY morning fresh and confident knowing you can identify, validate and take advantage of great momentum trading opportunities that are capable of generating you very profitable results.

For more information visit us today at Stress Free Traders http://www.StressFreeTraders.com

About the Author

Stress Free Traders helps day traders and investors pick hot stock trading opportunities every day at http://www.StressFreeTraders.com

In “The Intelligent Investor”, Benjamin Graham describes a formula heused to value stocks. He eschewed the more esoteric calculations andkept his formula pretty simple. In his words: “Our study of the various methods has led us to suggest a foreshortened and quite simple formula for the valuation of growth stocks, which is intended to produce figures fairly close to those resulting from the more refined mathematical calculations.”

In “The Intelligent Investor”, Benjamin Graham describes a formula heused to value stocks. He eschewed the more esoteric calculations andkept his formula pretty simple. In his words: “Our study of the various methods has led us to suggest a foreshortened and quite simple formula for the valuation of growth stocks, which is intended to produce figures fairly close to those resulting from the more refined mathematical calculations.”

The formula as described by Graham, is as follows:

Value = Current (Normal) Earnings x (8.5 + (2 x Expected Annual Growth Rate)

Where the Expected Annual Growth Rate “should be that expected overthe next seven to ten years.”

The value of 8.5 appears to be the P/E ratio of a stock that has zerogrowth. It is not clear from the text how Graham arrived at this figure, but it is likely it represents the y-intercept of a normal distribution of a series of various P/E values plotted against corresponding growth figures.

Graham’s formula takes no account of prevailing interest rates; at the timehe last updated the chapter, around 1971, the yield on AAA Corporate Bondswas around 4.4%. We can adjust the formula by normalizing it for currentbond yields by multiplying by a factor of 4.40/{Current AAA Corp Bond Yield}. Bond yields can be found on Yahoo!

Lets take a real-life example, using IBM. According to Yahoo!, the expectedgrowth rate for IBM over the next 5 years is 10% per annum (note data isonly available for 5 years ahead rather than the 7-10 years Graham states, but this should not make a significant difference). EPS for IBM over the last 12 months is $4.95. Taking these values and plugging in the 20 year AA Corporate bond yield of 5.76% (AA Bond yields are higher than AAA so will give a more conservative estimate of IV) in our adjustment gives:

Intrinsic Value = 4.95 x (8.5 + (2 x 10) x (4.40/5.76) = $107.77

IBM is currently trading at around $91, so it is currently slightly undervalued.

We can also do the same calculation for IBM’s average expected 2005 earnings of $5.62 in order to give some idea of what IBM’s price shouldbe if it meets those earnings estimates:

Intrinsic Value = 5.62 x (8.5 + (2 x 10) x (4.40/5.76) = $122.36

Of course this calculation is somewhat subjective when considered on its own. It should never be used in isolation - we must always take intoaccount other factors such as debt/equity, cash flow, managementeffectiveness, prevailing economic conditions, etc. Investors should seeksome qualifying criteria such as a PEG (Price Earnings Growth) ratio of less than 1 in additon to the stock being undervalued based on trailing and forward intrinsic value. Be aware that PEG itself is also based on future expectations, so we have to have some degree of certainty that thecompany will meet those expectations. We can do this by looking at thelast 5 years growth rate and Earnings figures.

There are, of course, other methods of calculating intrinsic value butthis is certainly one of the simplest.

(c) 2005 The Graham Investor You may use this article, as-is, provided this copyright notice is kept intact.


ABOUT THE AUTHOR

John B. Keown is an IT specialist, website builder and private investor who enjoys all things stock-related and in particular seeking out undervalued stocks.
He can be contacted via http://www.grahaminvestor.com

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